Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Topic
10.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 9
Pending: 74
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve made three interest rate cuts during the year 2025.
"In response, the Federal Reserve Bank just cut interest rates for the third time in 2025."
Dec 31, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates by 0.25% in October and another 0.25% in December, bringing the Fed funds rate to 3.75%.
"And then they're going to cut interest rates again by another 0.25% 25% in December, bringing the Fe..."
Oct 16, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 0.5% to stimulate the economy.
"So to save the economy, the Federal Reserve might come in and cut interest rates by as much as half ..."
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is projected to cut interest rates at both its October and December meetings in 2025.
"In the Fed's newest projection, they expect to cut interest rates again at both of those meetings in..."
Sep 19, 2025
Incorrect
Aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are predicted, potentially dropping the Fed Funds rate from 4.5% to 3.75% within the remaining meetings of the year.
"So that would drop the Fed funds interest rate from the current 4.5% to 3.75%. So in that short time..."
Sep 11, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates at their September 17th meeting, despite accelerating inflation, due to the belief that inflation is under control and to support a weakening labor market.
"the Federal Reserve is still most likely going to cut interest rates at their next meeting, which is..."
Sep 11, 2025
Incorrect
Market expectation is for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at all remaining meetings of the year (September, October, December).
"So the market expectation is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at each one of the rem..."
Sep 11, 2025
Incorrect
The market views a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve as highly probable, though not a certainty.
"So, I'll tell you that it's not 100%. It's not a sure thing, but it sure is close."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
By the October Federal Reserve meeting, there is a 62% probability of two interest rate cuts and a 35.6% probability of one rate cut.
"So, here are the odds by the October Fed meeting. So, there's a 62% chance that we're going to get t..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes Jerome Powell will find it difficult to justify not cutting interest rates in September given current economic data.
"So, I mean, I'll just tell you honestly, I don't know how J. Paul is going to justify not cutting in..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
If a rate cut does not occur in September, it is highly probable in one of the two subsequent Federal Reserve meetings in 2025.
"So, if not in September, then there are two more meetings after that one in September for the remain..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are imminent.
"But I do want you to know that the interest rate cuts, they're I mean, they're going to start soon. ..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
The current probability of a September interest rate cut has risen to 94.9%.
"And right now, the odds of a September rate cut, they've gone up even further, even higher to a 94.9..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
After the August 1st jobs report, the probability of a September interest rate cut increased from 41.3% to 82.8%.
"Immediately after the awful results of the jobs report, which was released on August 1st, the odds o..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
There is a 94.9% probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on September 17th.
"There is now a 94.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their next meeting o..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Prior to the jobs report, there was a 41.3% chance of a September interest rate cut.
"Before the jobs report, there was a 41.3% chance that they're going to cut interest rates in Septemb..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
If the Fed maintains its forecast of two rate cuts for the year, and cuts in September, further cuts are expected in October or December.
"If they keep it at two rate cuts, you know, for the remainder of this year, that means that, okay, i..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
There is a strong market expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their September meeting.
"there is a big market expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at their next meetin..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Cutting interest rates too soon risks not effectively combating inflation.
"If we cut rates too soon, maybe we didn't finish the job with inflation."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Cutting interest rates too late could cause unnecessary damage to the labor market.
"If you cut too late, then maybe you're doing unnecessary damage to the labor market."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Jay Powell believes cutting interest rates too early could re-accelerate inflation.
"Powell's saying that if they start to cut interest rates too early, then that may reacelerate inflat..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
The labor market is expected to weaken further in the upcoming jobs report.
"for the jobs, like I don't think it's going to be a surprise to anyone to see that the labor market'..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell may justify an interest rate cut by attributing high inflation to a one-time tariff effect.
"I think the only way that Paul can play this off is if he says this high inflation, it's coming from..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will implement two interest rate cuts by the end of 2025, specifically in September and December.
"two cuts is likely. Like, they're likely going to do a September cut and they're likely going to do ..."
Jul 8, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will implement two interest rate cuts by the end of 2025, specifically in September and December.
"two cuts is likely. Like, they're likely going to do a September cut and they're likely going to do ..."
Jul 8, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in September 2025.
"There's a pretty safe assumption now that, you know, the Fed will cut in in September."
Jul 2, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve has forecasted a total of two interest rate cuts for the year 2025.
"So the Federal Reserve has projected two interest rate cuts this year in 2025."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
Jay Powell has stated there is no urgency to cut interest rates.
"But you're going to see J. Paul, he says that there's no rush. There's no rush to cut interest rates..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
If inflation pressures stay contained, rate cuts will happen sooner rather than later, but Jay Powell is not committing to a specific meeting due to the strong economy and labor market.
"If it turns out that inflation pressures do remain contained then we will get to a place where we cu..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The market anticipates a cycle of easing, beginning with interest rate cuts, in approximately two and a half months, specifically at the September meeting.
"The market is expecting lower interest rates. You know, that cycle of easing to begin in two and a h..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
There is a 92.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will initiate interest rate cuts by the September 17th meeting.
"There's a 92.1% chance that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates by this meeting [S..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The market expects the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates at the September 17th meeting.
"So the market expectation is that the Federal Reserve is going to start cutting interest rates at th..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The market anticipates the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in approximately two and a half months.
"So the market expectation is that the Federal Reserve is going to start cutting interest rates in tw..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve plans to lower interest rates by the end of 2025 if inflation is lower than expected and the economy remains uncertain. This could happen sooner than planned.
"the Fed's most recent interest rate forecast note that it plans to lower rates by the end of the yea..."
May 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is forecasted to cut interest rates twice in the current year.
"The Fed's recent forecast suggests that it expects to cut interest rates twice this year"
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank intends to continue cutting interest rates throughout 2025.
"the Federal Reserve Bank says that they want to continue cutting interest rates in 2025"
Jan 16, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank anticipates making only two interest rate cuts in 2025.
"the Federal Reserve Bank says that they are probably only going to cut interest rates two times in 2..."
Jan 16, 2025
Pending
Fewer interest rate cuts are anticipated in 2025 due to persistent inflation.
"expect less interest rate Cuts in 2025 because apparently inflation is still a problem"
Jan 4, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 due to ongoing inflation concerns.
"expect less interest rate Cuts in 2025 because apparently inflation is still a problem"
Jan 3, 2025
Pending
Market sentiment indicates a near-certainty of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates on December 18th.
"Wall Street is now pricing in a 99.9% chance that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to cut interest ..."
Dec 12, 2024
Pending
80% probability of Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December (prior to the transcript's publication date of Nov 14, 2024).
"Traders and Wall Street are now pricing in an 80% chance that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to c..."
Nov 14, 2024
Pending
Markets anticipate a 99% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on November 7th.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is going to announce on November 7th what they want to do with interest rat..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending
Unless the Federal Reserve deviates from market expectations regarding interest rate cuts, significant changes in mortgage or car loan rates are unlikely. The focus should be on the Fed's forward guidance.
"So unless the Fed does something different, you might not see a big drop in mortgage rates or car lo..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve, Canada, China, and European countries are all cutting interest rates.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is now cutting interest rates Canada is cutting interest rates China is now..."
Oct 18, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank plans to reduce interest rates by 2% within the next 18 months.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has said that they plan to bring this interest rate down by 2% over the nex..."
Oct 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is predicted to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025 and continue doing so in 2026.
"We have heard time and time again that the Federal Reserve Bank wants to cut interest rates again in..."
Oct 11, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve committed to cutting interest rates by 0.5% in 2024, four times in 2025, and two times in 2026.
"They committed to cutting interest rates by another half a percent in 2024. They said they want to c..."
Sep 20, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to commence interest rate cuts on September 18, 2024.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has pretty much all but guaranteed that they're going to start cutting inte..."
Sep 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is highly likely to start cutting interest rates within a week.
"there's a high high likelihood that the FED is going to start cutting rates in about one week from n..."
Sep 15, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve has virtually guaranteed interest rate cuts on September 18th.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has pretty much all but guaranteed that they're going to start cutting inte..."
Sep 15, 2024
Pending